The day arrives, and you’re finally able to turn the page on a new chapter in your life. Many of you have been working for forty or fifty years, diligently putting money aside in retirement accounts expressly for this day – in hopes of starting to enjoy the kind of retirement you always envisioned. You comb through your 401(k) and IRA statements and feel a sense of relief when you look at the combined balance. It seems like a lot of money; considerably more than you ever thought you would save when you first began.
That’s the mindset of many investors as they cross the threshold into retired life. After a lifetime of saving, it’s only natural to want to splurge a bit and jump into retirement with a healthy joie de vivre. Yet the looming specter of running out of money is very real; one that far too many investors find themselves suddenly and unexpectedly facing. In fact, 61% of Americans are more afraid of outliving their assets than they are of dying.1 There are, however, steps you can take to significantly minimize that risk.
Whether or not your savings will last throughout your lifetime hinges on a multitude of factors; from how long you live to how well the markets perform (particularly during the first few years of retirement). But there’s only one determinant that is ENTIRELY in your own hands – how much you spend each year. In the same way that aggressively saving for retirement helps build your financial confidence, judiciously spending, especially in the first few years of retirement when the urge to splurge tends to be strongest, can dramatically help to protect and preserve your savings to last a lifetime.
How much can you safely spend each year?
According to a recent survey conducted by New York Life, more than three-quarters (77%) of Americans have no clear sense of how much of their retirement savings they can safely spend each year so as not to run out of money. Most alarmingly, nearly one in three (31%) believe they can deplete upwards of 10% of their savings each year.2 Given historical average annual market returns, at that rate of spending, most retirement savings accounts would be completely wiped out in a little more than a decade.
Systematic Withdrawal Plans
With systematic withdrawal plans, each year you draw-down a fixed percentage of your portfolio’s assets for income. That percentage is determined by running multiple simulations to find the maximum amount you can withdraw while maintaining a high degree of confidence that you won’t run out of money. In each subsequent year, the amount of income taken is then increased to keep pace with inflation, and the remaining assets are rebalanced to maintain a target allocation.
There are no hard and fast rules when it comes to a sustainable rate of retirement spending. Your age at retirement, your risk tolerance and investment allocation, and your desire to leave a legacy for future generations will all impact that rate. Traditionally, financial advisors have recommended spending no more than 4% of savings annually using a systematic withdrawal plan.
However, increasing life expectancies (retirements today may last 30 years or longer) and currently low interest rates may necessitate spending even a smaller percentage of your assets. If that seems unachievable, it can be a helpful exercise to categorize your expenses into those that are essential needs and those that are discretionary to determine where there may be opportunities to trim. You might also want to consider the opportunity to subsidize retirement income with a second career, finding part-time work related to a passion you’ve always wanted to pursue. Not only can it provide additional income and possibly medical benefits, it can translate into higher Social Security benefits and fewer retirement years that need to be funded by your assets.